Demand forecasting system for capacity of production plan & financial planning of car fabric industry

Abstract

This material thesis is a part of the new investment project of the textile manufacturing company. It aims primarily at forecasting demand and pi arming capacity together with financial statement for the car fabric product which focuses on passenger car & one-ton pick up truck. The results of the research will be the guideline for the car fabric manufacturing in the next 5 years (1997-2001). To forecast the demand of car fabric, the historical sales volume is recorded by Thai Automotive industry Club, The Federation of Thai Industry, and Toyota Motor Thailand Co., Ltd. and analyzed by using comparative method of forecasting technique coupling with economic situation. Forecasting by the comparative analysis is employed to find the projected sales volume for 5 years period based on the forecasting assumption that : 1. The two macroeconomic indicators -GDP-growth rate and lending interest rate summarizes the economics situation. 2. Without consideration of the external factors which be unpredictable such as political changed influence, episodes in the international financial markets, etc. To find the optimum production capacity and financial p an that give the highest benefit to company are calculated. From the study, the optimum production capacity of car fabric production during the period of 1997-2001 is 750,000 metre per year. For planning the financial scheme, the budget allocation ar_d determining method of each elements are considered and calculated the suitable outcomes. Income statement, cash flow statement, and balance sheet statement are estimated to become a system guidance to the management.